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Home > Blog > Data Analytics

Private Equity Waterfall to Uncover Key Insights

What are private equity waterfalls, and why do they matter so much in investment deals? These payout structures determine how profits flow between investors and fund managers. They are not optional fine prints—they’re central to how billions are distributed.

Private Equity Waterfall

Private equity waterfalls aren’t only for large firms; mid-market and growth-stage funds are also used to set fair reward systems. Preferred returns, catch-ups, and carried interest define real outcomes. Fund managers stake their compensation on the precision of these terms as limited partners determine actual returns on investment.

Understanding private equity waterfalls isn’t about decoding jargon. It’s about decision-making. With tools like a waterfall chart, stakeholders can visualize how distributions shift at different return levels. It shows what’s happening—not in theory, but in complex numbers.

More firms are adopting finance dashboards in Excel to make these structures transparent. These dashboards support better reports on Financial analysis and give everyone a sharper view of how a deal performs. Transparency doesn’t just help manage funds; it builds trust.

This blog will break down how private equity waterfalls work step by step. We’ll simplify the numbers, trace the flow, and see where each dollar ends.

Table of Content:

  1. What is a Waterfall in Private Equity?
  2. Video Tutorial: 
  3. Key Components of the PE Waterfall
  4. Why are Distribution Waterfalls Important?
  5. Top 4 Types of Waterfall Model Private Equity
  6. American vs. European Waterfalls
  7. How Does a Distribution Waterfall Work With an Example?
  8. How to Analyze a Private Equity Waterfall Model in Excel?
  9. Tips for Using the Equity Waterfall
  10. Limitations of Private Equity Distribution Waterfalls
  11. Private Equity Waterfall – FAQs
  12. Wrap Up

Private Equity Waterfall Explained!

What is a Waterfall in Private Equity?

Definition: In private equity, a waterfall refers to the method of distributing profits among investors and fund managers. It outlines the order in which cash flows are allocated, starting with returning the initial capital to investors, then providing a preferred return, and finally sharing remaining profits between investors and the fund managers (carried interest). The structure ensures that investors receive their agreed returns before managers earn performance-based compensation.

Video Tutorial:

Key Components of the PE Waterfall

  1. Return of Capital: Investors get back their original investment first.
  2. Preferred Return (Hurdle Rate): Investors earn a minimum return (often 6–8%) before managers are paid.
  3. Catch-Up Provision: Allows managers to “catch up” to their agreed profit share once investors are satisfied.
  4. Carried Interest: Fund managers receive a share of profits (commonly 20%) as a performance fee.
  5. Residual Split: Remaining profits are divided between investors and managers based on the agreed terms.

Why are Distribution Waterfalls Important?

Private equity distribution waterfalls are important in private equity because they define:

  • Protect Investor Returns

Distribution waterfalls prioritize investors by ensuring they receive their original capital contributions and preferred returns before fund managers share in the profits. This safeguards investor interests and reduces risk.

  • Ensure Fairness and Transparency

The structure provides a clear framework for how profits are divided. By outlining the payout sequence in advance, waterfalls eliminate confusion and promote transparency between investors and fund managers.

  • Align Interests Between Investors and Managers

Because fund managers only earn carried interest after investors achieve agreed returns, their incentives are directly tied to fund performance. This alignment encourages managers to maximize value creation.

  • Build Investor Confidence and Trust

A well-structured waterfall assures investors that returns will be distributed fairly and consistently. This builds long-term confidence, making it easier for funds to attract and retain investors.

  • Support Long-Term Fund Success

Clear distribution rules reduce disputes, improve investor relations, and help maintain a healthy balance between rewarding performance and protecting investor capital.

Top 4 Types of Waterfall Model Private Equity

European Waterfall (Fund-as-a-Whole)

  • Profits are distributed only after all investors (LPs) receive their capital and preferred return across the entire fund.
  • Considered more investor-friendly and reduces clawback risk for managers.

American Waterfall (Deal-by-Deal)

  • Carried interest is paid to the GP after each profitable deal, as long as the hurdle rate is met.
  • Provides quicker payouts to managers but carries higher clawback risk.

Modified American Waterfall

  • A hybrid approach where GPs can take early carried interest on deals, but with some adjustments to protect LPs.
  • Balances faster payouts for managers with investor safeguards.

Full Catch-Up Waterfall

  • After LPs receive their preferred return, the GP receives a larger share of profits until their carried interest is fully “caught up.”
  • Ensures GPs are fully rewarded for strong performance while keeping LPs’ returns protected.

American vs. European Waterfalls

Feature European Waterfall American Waterfall
Payout Basis Fund-as-a-whole – LPs must receive all contributed capital and preferred return across the entire fund before the GP earns carried interest. Deal-by-deal – GP can take carried interest from each profitable deal once its hurdle rate is met.
Investor Protection More investor-friendly; early profits offset future losses before GP gets paid. Less investor protection; GP can be paid early, even if later deals lose money.
Liquidity for GP GP receives carried interest later, only after fund-level returns are secured. GP receives carried interest earlier, as soon as deals are successful.
Clawback Risk Lower risk of clawbacks since payouts are made after the overall fund performance is clear. Higher risk of clawbacks if GP is overpaid early and later deals underperform.
Incentives Encourages long-term performance and protects LPs. Incentivizes GPs to pursue quicker exits and profitable deals early.

How Does a Distribution Waterfall Work With an Example?

In this private equity waterfall example, the private equity fund invests $100 million and earns $160 million in total proceeds. The fund agreement follows a typical waterfall structure for private equity. Here’s how distributions might work:

Step 1: Return of Capital

  • Investors (LPs) get back their initial $100 million.
  • Remaining profit: $60 million.

Step 2: Preferred Return (Hurdle Rate)

  • Investors are promised an 8% preferred return, equal to $8 million.
  • Remaining profit: $52 million.

Step 3: Catch-Up Provision

  • The GP receives a larger share until it catches up to its 20% carried interest.
  • Example: GP gets $2 million during this stage.
  • Remaining profit: $50 million.

Step 4: Carried Interest (Profit Split)

  • The remaining $50 million is split 80/20 between LPs and GP.
  • LPs receive $40 million.
  • GP receives $10 million.

Final Distribution:

  • LPs: $148 million (Capital + Preferred Return + Profit Share).
  • GP: $12 million (Catch-Up + Carried Interest).

In this example, the waterfall ensures LPs are fully repaid and receive their promised return before the GP earns carried interest.

How to Analyze a Private Equity Waterfall Model in Excel?

Have you ever tried explaining a private equity waterfall with many Excel rows? It’s a headache wrapped in a spreadsheet.

Sure, Excel is excellent for private equity waterfall model analysis and crunching numbers. However, it falls short with data visualization, especially for layered structures like waterfalls. Your charts get messy, hard to read, and even harder to explain.

That’s where ChartExpo steps in. It turns complex data into clean visuals fast. Tools like a stacked waterfall chart clarify your financial metrics without the need for formatting battles.

How to Install ChartExpo in Excel?

  1. Open your Excel application.
  2. Open the worksheet and click the “Insert” menu.
  3. You’ll see the “My Apps” option.
  4. In the Office Add-ins window, click “Store” and search for ChartExpo on my Apps Store.
  5. Click the “Add” button to install ChartExpo in your Excel.

ChartExpo charts are available both in Google Sheets and Microsoft Excel. Please use the following CTAs to install the tool of your choice and create beautiful visualizations with a few clicks in your favorite tool.

Private Equity Waterfall Example

Let’s analyze this sample data in Excel using ChartExpo.

Description Amount (in $ millions)
Initial Value (Purchase) 100
Revenue Growth 40
Cost Reductions 20
Debt Repayment -15
Operational Improvements 25
Exit Sale Value (Final) 170
  • To get started with ChartExpo, install ChartExpo in Excel.
  • Now, click on My Apps from the INSERT menu.
Private Equity Waterfall
  • Choose ChartExpo from My Apps, then click Insert.
Private Equity Waterfall
  • Once it loads, scroll through the charts list to locate and choose the “Waterfall Chart”.
Private Equity Waterfall
  • After clicking on the chart, you will see the Waterfall Chart on the screen.
Private Equity Waterfall
  • Click the “Create Chart From Selection” button after selecting the data from the sheet, as shown.
Private Equity Waterfall
  • ChartExpo will generate the visualization below for you.
Private Equity Waterfall
  • If you want to add anything to the chart, click the Edit Chart button:
  • Click the pencil icon next to the Chart Header to change the title.
  • It will open the properties dialog. Under the Text section, you can add a heading in Line 1 and enable Show.
  • Give the appropriate title of your chart and click the Apply button.
Private Equity Waterfall
  • Click the “Save Changes” button to persist the changes.
Private Equity Waterfall
  • Your final chart will appear as follows.
Private Equity Waterfall

Insights

  • Initial investment: $100 million
  • Final exit value: $170 million

Key value drivers:

  • $40 million from revenue growth
  • $25 million from operational improvements
  • $20 million from cost reductions
  • Offset: Value partially reduced due to debt repayment

Tips for Using the Equity Waterfall

When setting up a private equity waterfall, the goal is to ensure everything is clear and aligned with fund objectives. Here are some tips to get the structure right and ensure smooth payouts:

  1. Understand the structure: The Waterfall has multiple stages, such as the return of capital, preferred return, and profit split. Fully understanding each stage helps ensure that distributions follow the agreed-upon order.
  2. Customize based on fund goals: Different funds have different goals. Tailor your waterfall model for early LP payouts or long-term GP returns.
  3. Incorporate flexibility for performance: The Waterfall should adjust to changes in fund performance. This flexibility ensures that payouts are aligned with the actual results and keeps everyone motivated.
  4. Ensure clarity and transparency: LPs and GPs should understand how profits will be shared. Using a finance dashboard in Excel helps visualize the flow and simplifies tracking.
  5. Use technology for calculations: Manual calculations can lead to errors and inefficiency. 3-statement financial modeling and data analytics ensure accurate, efficient waterfall calculations.

Limitations of Private Equity Distribution Waterfalls

While distribution waterfalls provide a structured way to allocate profits, they also have some limitations:

  1. Complexity: Waterfall structures can be difficult to understand, especially for new investors or fund managers. Multiple tiers, catch-up provisions, and preferred returns can make calculations complicated.
  2. Slower Payouts for Managers: In European or fund-as-a-whole structures, GPs may have to wait until all investors receive their returns, delaying carried interest payments.
  3. Potential for Clawbacks: Especially in deal-by-deal (American) waterfalls, managers may need to return excess carried interest if later deals underperform.
  4. Rigidity: Once the waterfall is defined in the fund agreement, changing it is difficult, even if business conditions or fund performance change.
  5. Incentive Misalignment in Certain Structures: Some waterfall models may encourage managers to focus on early wins or high-risk deals, which might not always align with long-term investor interests.

Private Equity Waterfall – FAQs

What is the Waterfall effect in private equity?

The Waterfall effect shows how profits are shared in stages. It follows a set order; investors are paid first. Then, fund managers. Each step depends on reaching certain returns. It ensures fair and structured payouts.

What is an American Waterfall private equity?

The American Waterfall pays profits deal by deal. Fund managers receive carried interest after each successful exit. Full fund performance isn’t required. It leads to quicker payouts and is popular with General Partners for early reward opportunities.

What is the first step in the equity Waterfall?

The first step is the return of capital. Investors get their initial investment back; no profits are split before this. It protects investors, ensuring their capital is recovered before earnings are shared.

Wrap Up

A private equity waterfall is more than a payout model. It sets the rules for sharing profits,  ensuring investors and fund managers are fairly treated.

Each step has a purpose. Return of capital protects the initial investment. Preferred return rewards patience. Whereas catch-up and profit split motivate fund performance.

Think of it as a structured journey, from invested dollars to shared returns. A good financial performance analysis example will always include this flow. It shows how and when returns are earned.

A monthly finance report helps visualize progress. It shows how close the fund is to meeting its targets. It’s a clear tool for both LPs and GPs.

Waterfalls also connect to long-term thinking. They help align actions with big-picture goals. They’re a solid part of any long-term financial goals in investment planning.

In conclusion, a well-built waterfall drives trust, keeps everyone focused and accountable, and brings structure to a complex financial process. Installing ChartExpo further enhances this by making data visualization and reporting more efficient.

So, do not hesitate. Install ChartExpo today to revolutionize how you work with your financial data.

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